Best Picture
Prediction: Anora
Winner: Anora
Yay! I so often get Best Picture wrong, especially in tight years. It is really surreal to see Sean Baker win four times this night.
Leading Actor
Prediction: Brody
Winner: Brody
Oof, and let's let him never win again and let that career spiral back into nothingness.
Leading Actress
Prediction: Moore
Winner: Madison
Unreal win here, very surprising, I can't quite wrap my head around it, but oh well, this was an upset for most everyone.
Supporting Actor
Prediction: Culkin
Winner: Culkin
Easy work here.
Supporting Actress
Prediction: Saldana
Winner: Saldana
Again, pretty easy pick here. I'm catching up, this was just for that one funny song, right? That's catchy.
Director
Prediction: Baker
Winner: Baker
He's deserved this for some time but it's still wild to see him with this prize.
Adapted Screenplay
Prediction: Conclave
Winner: Conclave
This was nice to get but really not a ton of competition here.
Original Screenplay
Prediction: A Real Pain
Winner: Anora
Anora just went nuts with four wins for Baker, which I'm not sure anyone would have predicted. Best Picture hardly ever gets the screenplay but yet again movies like Anora don't win all that often.
Animated Feature
Prediction: Flow
Winner: Flow
Unreal to get the Flow! I'm so pumped.
International Feature
Prediction: Emilia Perez
Winner: I'm Still Here
Really surprising considering the Emilia Perez buzz but man, this thing just dropped hard. Everyone was saying I'm Still Here would get it and I resisted the train, thinking Perez could still pull it off. Oh well, I probably should have gotten this one.
Documentary Feature
Prediction: No Other Land
Winner: No Other Land
Crushed it, no problem. Easy peasy.
Cinematography
Prediction: Dune: Part Two
Winner: The Brutalist
I had that as a possible number two pick, I should have gone with it. I really didn't think folks knew the Brutalist that well.
Costume Design
Prediction: Wicked
Winner: Wicked
A lot of this year seemed to be pretty easy to pick. Well, I still got this one!
Production Design
Prediction: Dune
Winner: Wicked
I think...this was stupid.
Film Editing
Prediction: Anora
Winner: Anora
Nailed that one, even if I missed some others, which is rewarding.
Makeup and Hairstyling
Prediction: Substance
Winner: Substance
Really rewarding to see this offbeat, insane film earn an Oscar that absolutely deserves it, too. It's so rare that stuff like this actually happens.
Original Score
Prediction: Brutalist
Winner: The Brutalist
I don't know how I picked this one, folks.
Original Song
Prediction: "El Mal"
Winner: "El Mal"
I don't get Emilia Perez, it plunked on a lot of the categories it had led in, but some just seemed too far and away a guarantee win? The Academy sucks. But I actually like this song, it's fun and engaging and got a good rhythm.
Sound
Prediction: Dune
Winner: Dune
DUNE
Visual Effects
Prediction: Dune
Winner: Dune
When will an Apes movie win? They really need to come out with a year where every bad movie happens. Maybe this year!
Animated Short Film
Prediction: Wander to Wonder
Winner: Cyrpess
Who cares!
Documentary Short Film
Prediction: Orchestra
Winner: Orchestra
Obviously I know what I'm talking about.
Live Action Short Film
Prediction: The Last Ranger
Winner: Robot
It all seems obvious sometimes. I think the Lone Ranger should have won.
Ultimately I think the only category I really should have nailed was International Feature, I don't think I would have changed anything else, some toss ups, but all in all a pretty good showing. Here's to One Battle After Another (2025)!
