It's time now to test our rock solid predictions. Stay tuned all night to see our gut reactions to this meaningless ceremony and how much we predicted correctly! and incorrectly!
Best picture
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street
Captain Phillips
Her
American Hustle
Gravity
Dallas Buyers Club
Nebraska
Philomena
Predicted Winner:
12 Years a Slave
Actual Winner:
12 Years a Slave
You can tell with that little smile on Will Smith's face that it was all
12 Years. A great win for McQueen and yeah, Brad Pitt there, who can still crank out these prestige pictures while he makes ridiculous moneymaking flicks on his own. I only miffed on four categories this year, which officially makes me awesome. So I missed Costume Design, Animated Short, Live Action Short, and Feature Documentary. It was a pretty alright ceremony. Not great, but okay. That was fun. See you for more bullshit next year!
Accuracy: 20/24
Best actor
Bruce Dern,
Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor,
12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey,
Dallas Buyers Club
Leonardo DiCaprio,
The Wolf of Wall Street
Christian Bale,
American Hustle
Predicted Winner: Matthew McConaughey
Actual Winner: Matthew McConaughey
This was one of those categories where there really wouldn't be a bad winner. These were all pretty incredible. But this is McConaughey's night, and this was another award that was never really in doubt. It's a fitting capper to his recent resurgence and bold walk into relevancy. With
True Detective taking off, this ain't gon' be the end, though, brother. That hero bit was pretty good. And I'm glad he got his catchphrase in there.
Accuracy: 19/23
Best actress
Amy Adams,
American Hustle
Cate Blanchett,
Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench,
Philomena
Sandra Bullock,
Gravity
Meryl Streep,
August: Osage County
Predicted Winner: Cate Blanchett
Actual Winner: Cate Blanchett
Great win for Galadriel herself, Cate Blanchett. This was never really a contest, although there was recently a smear campaign due to Woody Allen's alleged pedophilia. Whoopsie doodle. It's nice that none of that really matters. She also went with the "everyone else is great" route, which is a great touch of class. AND some very poignant comments on the fact that there aren't enough female-centric films and yeah, they make money.
Accuracy: 18/22
Best director
Steve McQueen,
12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell,
American Hustle
Alfonso Cuaron,
Gravity
Alexander Payne,
Nebraska
Martin Scorsese,
The Wolf of Wall Street
Predicted Winner: Alfonso Cuaron
Actual Winner: Alfonso Cuaron
Cuaron is not at least a double Oscar winner. Which is awesome. A Black Best Director Winner eludes us, but at least we got a Mexican one.
Gravity had incredible direction - I suppose the academy went for technical achievement over human drama this year, which is kind of the opposite from when Bigelow upset Cameron years ago. This is a nice reward for a directorial career that has gone pretty unrecognized by major awards. And I know have more predictions correct than I ever have.
Accuracy: 17/21
Best original screenplay
American Hustle, David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer
Blue Jasmine, Woody Allen
Her, Spike Jonze
Nebraska, Bob Nelson
Dallas Buyers Club, Craig Borten and Melisa Wallack
Predicted Winner:
Her
Actual Winner:
Her
Now, I admittedly changed this during
my review of the screenwriting nominees last month, but I'm glad I did. It's awesome that Spike Jonze nailed this, he's really deserving for his vision that hasn't really been recognized by the Academy that much. Gladys, man. Gladys. I have now hit 16 correct predictions, which would tie the most I've ever gotten right at this thing (
in 2012). I'm getting excited for this ceremony to no longer have excitement and for me to win out now.
Accuracy: 16/20
Best adapted screenplay
12 Years a Slave, John Ridley
Before Midnight, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke and Richard Linklater
The Wolf of Wall Street, Terence Winter
Captain Phillips, Billy Ray
Philomena, Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope
Predicted Winner:
12 Years a Slave
Actual Winner:
12 Years a Slave
This is a great win amidst some difficult competition. No surprise, though. Ridley is giving a really honest and humble speech and may be my new favorite of the night.
Accuracy: 15/19
Best music (original song)
Frozen, "Let it Go" by Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom, "Ordinary Love" by U2, Paul Hewson
Her, "The Moon Song" by Karen O, Spike Jonze
Despicable Me 2, "Happy" by Pharrell Williams
Predicted Winner: "Let it Go"
Actual Winner: "Let it Go"
They did right to save Idina for the last performance. All these songs are pretty good, but no one matches the pipes or passion of Menzel. "Happy" may be the only song that has gained actual Billboard traction, but "Let it Go" worked the best within its actual motion picture. I mean, Idina just singing there about frozen fractals didn't really make sense out of context. This is a great, if expected, win. Also that acceptance speech was the best of the night. I have matched my
correct prediction total from last year. Hopefully this will keep rolling.
Accuracy: 14/18
Best music (original score)
Gravity, Steven Price
Philomena, Alexandre Desplat
The Book Thief, John Williams
Saving Mr. Banks, Thomas Newman
Her, William Butler and Owen Pallett
Predicted Winner:
Gravity
Actual Winner:
Gravity
Is that a reunion of the cast of the movie
Stealth (2005)?! How exciting!
Gravity has not really made these awards that interesting. Thank goodness for the strange does of quirk Ellen DeGeneres offers. What has been the biggest upset of the night so far? Best Documentary?
Accuracy: 13/17
*By the way, Ellen's Legendary Selfie
broke Twitter.
*In Memorium Paul Walker #2Fast2Soon. Damn we had a rough year for losing people.
Best production design
12 Years a Slave: Adam Stockhausen and Alice Baker
The Great Gatsby: Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn
American Hustle: Judy Becker and Heather Loeffler
Gravity: Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard
Her: K.K. Barrett and Gene Serdena
Predicted Winner:
The Great Gatsby
Actual Winner:
The Great Gatsby
So I should have went with this for Costume Design, too.
Gatsby will be known as one of those pretty shitty films that had exceptional costume and production design. Multiple Oscar Winner. Won more than
12 Years a Slave,
The Wolf of Wall Street,
American Hustle, or
Her tonight. Fantastic. That ought to change but as it sits now...wow.
Accuracy: 12/16
*Whoa! Godzilla Snickers commercial!
*P!nk sings a dedication to
The Wizard of Oz (1939). Time for another bathroom break. Or maybe just time to switch to TBS and watch a bit of
Anchorman (2004).
Best film editing
Gravity: Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger
12 Years a Slave: Joe Walker
Captain Phillips: Christopher Rouse
American Hustle: Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten
Dallas Buyers Club: John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa
Predicted Winner:
Gravity
Actual Winner:
Gravity
I'm kind of digging the layout of awards this year, nice grouping of bullshit awards first, then a nice run for
Gravity on the technical stuff. This is also a great guarantee of Cuaron nabbing at least once Oscar tonight. He's halfway through becoming a rare individual to win two Oscars in one night.
Accuracy: 11/15
Best cinematography
Gravity: Emmanuel Lubezki
Inside Llewyn Davis: Bruno Delbonnel
Nebraska: Phedon Papamichael
Prisoners: Roger Deakins
The Grandmaster: Phillippe Le Sourd
Predicted Winner: Emmanuel Lubezki
Actual Winner: Emmanuel Lubezki
From now on, this category will be known as "Best Shooter." For a major motion picture. As much as this award is entirely deserved and it's incredible to see Lubezki win, hearing Bill Murray sort of patch things up with Harold Ramis, acknowledging his long-estranged friend's work is pretty great.
Gravity is starting to roll cray, but we predicted that.
Accuracy: 10/14
*What a ridiculous looking building. This is awful. That was a
Daily Show level joke cut.
*uuuggghhhh initiatives. I want to watch Jennifer Lawrence try to eat some za.
*Okay, this pizza thing is really awesome.
Best supporting actress
Jennifer Lawrence,
American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o,
12 Years a Slave
June Squibb,
Nebraska
Julia Roberts,
August: Osage County
Sally Hawkins,
Blue Jasmine
Predicted Winner: Lupita Nyong'o
Actual Winner: Lupita Nyong'o
Well-deserved and I'm happy now that
12 Years a Slave has this out of the way. Now we'll see if it can roll to Best Picture. I'm pretty curious considering how specific this role was, whether or not this win will really lift her career. I mean, what other slave-like roles are there out there? It will be nice to see if black actresses can actually win for playing roles that could be played by people other than black actresses. Still, groundbreaking in its way. Poor Squibb.
Accuracy: 9/13
*Jeez that was one legendary picture. Who was that black guy with the glasses that got in there, just some dude sitting net to Lupita?
Best sound editing
Gravity
All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
Lone Survivor
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Predicted Winner:
Gravity
Actual Winner:
Gravity
The differences between these two awards always kind of perplex me. I'd say the mixing is a bit more sophisticated, considering it's more foley stuff.
Gravity, you got that right. No surprises. Good for my batting average.
Accuracy: 8/12
Best sound mixing
Gravity
Captain Phillips
Lone Survivor
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Predicted Winner:
Gravity
Actual Winner:
Gravity
These guys all had multiple nominations this year, which is kind of cool and indicative that they're probably the best in the business.
Gravity is cleaning up technicals so far, as predicted. We'll see if they keep rolling.
Accuracy: 7/11
*Time for a bathroom break during U2's crappy Mandela song. Mandela don't play dat shit.
*Quick shot to Amy Adams looking bored into her lap. Ditto, Amy.
Best foreign feature
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
Omar (Palestinian territories)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Predicted Winner:
The Great Beauty
Actual Winner:
The Great Beatuy
Let's stem the bleeding a bit. This was basically a no-brainer, having won the Golden Globe here, but I was still a little nervous. I wonder what this is about. That's literally been my only thought for the past few nominees. No one watched these. Who cares. Great job.
Accuracy: 6/10
*Kevin Spacey channeling
House of Cards is a really zeitgeist-y moment.
Best documentary feature
The Act of Killing
20 Feet From Stardom
The Square
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
Predicted Winner:
An Act of Killing
Actual Winner:
20 Feet From Stardom
Shit. I don't really have anything to say. This is an upset for sure, but I really don't know what the hell any of these movies are about. Documentary awards outside of
Man on Wire (2008) are always kind of bunk, anyway. Now this girl is singing. Wild. I'm wondering now, barely batting over .500 how this night is going to turn out...
Accuracy: 5/9
*Pregnant Kerry Washington wants pizza REAL bad.
Best documentary short
"CaveDigger"
"Facing Fear"
"Karama Has No Walls"
"The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life"
"Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall"
Predicted Winner: "The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life"
Actual Winner: "The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life"
Hell yeah! This boosts my accuracy so much. I'm pumped. I have no idea what this short is about, but some of these actually look cool. This is a kind of a bummer that the subject just died a week ago. At 110 years old. This makes the win that much sweeter.
Accuracy: 5/8
Best short film, live action
"Aquel No Era Yo" (That Wasn't Me)
"Avant Que De Tout Perdre" (Just Before Losing Everything)
"Helium"
"Pitaako Mun Kaikki Hoitaa?" (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
"The Voorman Problem"
Predicted Winner: "The Voorman Problem"
Actual Winner: "Helium"
It's nice to now know that I can listen to Kate Hudson talk in Spanish forever. And jeez, why are these all foreign films? I am bummed about "Voorman." It's got such a cool name, when I say it, I feel like I'm driving a car. It's so hard picking these ones. No one watches these ones. Maybe I'll get Documentary Short right and still feel like a brilliant pundit.
Accuracy: 4/7
Best visual effects
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Star Trek Into Darkness
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Predicted Winner:
Gravity
Actual Winner:
Gravity
Absolutely. Virtual no surprise here, if
Gravity was going to win any award this evening, it's this one. It set the bar so ridiculously high in a film that's way higher regarded by the Academy than anything else here. Now let's see if they can wrap up the rest of the technical awards.
Accuracy: 4/6
Best animated feature
The Wind Rises
Frozen
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
The Croods
Predicted Winner:
Frozen
Actual Winner:
Frozen
No kidding. The way Novak built that up I thought it was going to be an upset for a second.
The Wind Rises, possibly, honouring Miyazaki.
Frozen was one of the best flicks of the year, though, and it made a literally insane amount of money. This was never going down.
Accuracy: 3/5
Best short film, animated
"Feral"
"Get a Horse!"
"Mr. Hublot"
"Possessions"
"Room on the Broom"
Predicted Winner: "Get a Horse!"
Actual Winner: "Mr. Hublot"
These guys were wayyyy far back. "Get a Horse" was for sure the most widely seen and really innovative, but Hublot looks cool. I guess. I didn't see it. It is nice to see the little animator win, though. Even if this English is pretty rough. And Kim Novak looks spaced out as hell.
Accuracy: 2/4
*Wow, Harrison Ford could not have appeared less enthusiastic to be there.
Best makeup and hairstyling
The Lone Ranger, Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, Stephen Prouty
Dallas Buyers Club, Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
Predicted Winner:
Dallas Buyers Club
No surprise here, but I was still jonesing for a
Bad Grandpa win. That work needs to be recognized. C'mon!
DBC really did nail this though, and had way more prestige than any of these other nominess.
Accuracy: 2/3
Best costume design
The Great Gatsby, Catherine Martin
12 Years a Slave, Patricia Norris
The Grandmaster, William Chang Suk Ping
American Hustle, Michael Wilkinson
The Invisible Woman, Michael O'Connor
Predicted Winner:
American Hustle
Actual Winner:
The Great Gatsby
Second category, first miss. I think
Gatsby was actually favored, but I bucked the trend, thinking that
Hustle's pretty authentic wardrobe and lack of a nomination in hair and make-up would balance out here. Nope. This probably bodes well for me sticking to my guns for
Gatsby for production design.
Accuracy: 1/2
Best supporting actor
Barkhad Abdi,
Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper,
American Hustle
Jonah Hill,
The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto,
Dallas Buyers Club
Michael Fassbender,
12 Years a Slave
Predicted Winner: Jared Leto
Actual Winner: Jared Leto
1/1
Anne Hathaway's sparkly dress was completely hypnotic. I'm in a trance now. It didn't help that she was blathering about, well, I don't know what. This is no surprise but it still would have been a bit more fun if anyone else here won. It's nice that Leto found something a little more meaningful to ramble on about, even if it turned out to just be his mom. And the 30 Seconds to Mars shout out. Yeah he still kind of sucks. At least he rounded it out to actually mention AIDS sufferers at the end.
*I love that Pharrell is apparently really into this Ranger Rick hat thing as an integral part of his brand persona. That thing is as big as his whole head. What a ridiculous human being
.