Oscar Zone Vol. III; Part 6: 24-Hrs To Go Predictions

Well folks, we're 24 hours from the Oscar Ceremony and I've got to say, much of my picks a month ago have changed. In order to save my ass and still look like I know what I'm talking about, it's time for a change-up. This will therefore be a quick run-down of who all the winners will definitely be. I'll also give you how confident I am for each. Let's get to it now, starting with the crappy categories that no one can predict anyway:

 Best Documentary, Short Subjects

The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom (2011): Lucy Walker, Kira Carstensen

Confidence: 70%

Best Short Film, Live Action

Raju (2011): Max Zähle, Stefan Gieren

Confidence: 75%

Best Short Film, Animated

La Luna (2011): Enrico Casarosa

Confidence: 100%

Best Documentary, Features

Pina (2011): Wim Wenders, Gian-Piero Ringel

Confidence: 80%

Best Achievement in Visual Effects

Rise of the Planet of the Apes (2011): Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White, Daniel Barrett

Confidence: 100%

Best Achievement in Sound Editing

Hugo (2011): Philip Stockton, Eugene Gearty

Confidence: 85%

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing

Hugo (2011): Tom Fleischman, John Midgley

Confidence: 90%

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song

The Muppets (2011): Bret McKenzie ("Man or Muppet")

Confidence: 100%

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score

The Artist (2011): Ludovic Bource

Confidence: 100%

Best Achievement in Makeup

The Iron Lady (2011): Mark Coulier, J. Roy Helland

Confidence: 100%

Best Achievement in Costume Design

Hugo (2011): Sandy Powell

Confidence: 50%

Best Achievement in Art Direction

Hugo (2011): Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo

Confidence: 90%

Best Achievement in Editing

The Artist (2011): Anne-Sophie Bion, Michel Hazanavicius

Confidence: 100%

Best Achievement in Cinematography

Hugo (2011): Robert Richardson

Confidence: 70%

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year

A Separation (2011): Asghar Farhadi (Iran)

Confidence: 100%

 Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

Rango (2011): Gore Verbinski

Confidence: 100%

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published

The Descendants (2011): Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash

Confidence: 100%

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen

Midnight in Paris (2011): Woody Allen

Confidence: 80%

Best Achievement in Directing

Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist (2011)

Confidence: 90%

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Octavia Spencer for The Help (2011)

Confidence: 100%

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Christopher Plummer for Beginners (2010)

Confidence: 100%

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Viola Davis for The Help (2011)

Confidence: 85%

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Jean Dujardin for The Artist (2011)

Confidence: 80%

Best Motion Picture of the Year

The Artist (2011): Thomas Langmann

Confidence: 100%

Spoilers:

Live Action Short: Time Freak

Documentary: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory

Sound Mixing: Transformers: Dark of the Moon

Costume Design: Anyone

Cinematography: The Tree of Life

Original Screenplay: The Artist

Director: Marty

Best Actress: Meryl

Best Actor: George

24 Hours, mateys!